Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.034375 0.037444 0.040528 0.043854 0.047333 0.050860 0.054699
2025-12-28 0.028754 0.033245 0.037907 0.043085 0.048651 0.054436 0.060879
2026-01-04 0.025087 0.030620 0.036532 0.043263 0.050665 0.058508 0.067403
2026-01-11 0.022486 0.028836 0.035797 0.043896 0.052970 0.062742 0.073980
2026-01-18 0.020303 0.027283 0.035119 0.044415 0.055001 0.066558 0.080007
2026-01-25 0.017263 0.024477 0.032796 0.042874 0.054553 0.067485 0.082715
2026-02-01 0.015232 0.022695 0.031512 0.042394 0.055192 0.069531 0.086588
2026-02-08 0.013625 0.021298 0.030573 0.042218 0.056098 0.071812 0.090665
2026-02-15 0.012891 0.020934 0.030834 0.043424 0.058580 0.075873 0.096751
2026-02-22 0.012102 0.020431 0.030870 0.044316 0.060660 0.079445 0.102259
2026-03-01 0.011209 0.019723 0.030595 0.044785 0.062201 0.082365 0.106996
2026-03-08 0.010278 0.018894 0.030115 0.044955 0.063347 0.084796 0.111147
2026-03-15 0.009750 0.018611 0.030347 0.046038 0.065642 0.088637 0.117016
2026-03-22 0.008550 0.017288 0.029153 0.045275 0.065647 0.089743 0.119674
2026-03-29 0.007809 0.016578 0.028735 0.045472 0.066812 0.092219 0.123936
2026-04-05 0.007291 0.016164 0.028692 0.046129 0.068534 0.095354 0.128972
2026-04-12 0.006776 0.015715 0.028571 0.046665 0.070091 0.098280 0.133758
2026-04-19 0.005657 0.014202 0.026889 0.045081 0.068925 0.097867 0.134529
2026-04-26 0.004961 0.013318 0.026053 0.044587 0.069113 0.099081 0.137228
2026-05-03 0.004413 0.012633 0.025471 0.044406 0.069682 0.100745 0.140459
2026-05-10 0.004267 0.012655 0.025930 0.045648 0.072087 0.104680 0.146442
2026-05-17 0.004052 0.012532 0.026159 0.046566 0.074070 0.108092 0.151795
2026-05-24 0.003751 0.012218 0.026083 0.047049 0.075478 0.110786 0.156275